Stone to Silicon

Artificial intelligence · 1972

MYCIN

An expert system that diagnoses blood infections about as well as specialists.

Edward Shortliffe's MYCIN used about 600 if-then rules with certainty factors to recommend antibiotics. In a blinded 1979 evaluation its choices were rated acceptable 65% of the time, on par with infectious disease experts. It was never used clinically but defined the rule-based expert system.

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What it built on 1

What it led to 2

Related measurements

The dashed line marks when it first worked.

Training compute of notable AI models Source: Epoch AI, Notable AI Models (CC BY 4.0)

Computation per constant dollar, 1850-2006 Latest: 7.3B million units of computer power per 2006 $ (2003) Source: Nordhaus 2007, Two Centuries of Productivity Growth in Computing, J. Econ. Hist. 67(1), Table 6