Food & agriculture · around 2042
Nitrogen-fixing cereals
Projection
Wheat, maize or rice that feed themselves nitrogen from the air like beans do.
About half of humanity's food depends on Haber-Bosch fertiliser. Cereals that fix their own nitrogen would cut fertiliser cost, energy use and water pollution, especially for smallholder farmers.
Why it’s plausible: Maize landraces with nitrogen-fixing root mucilage and engineered microbial partners show partial success; transferring the full symbiosis is a hard multi-gene problem.
What it built on 4
Related measurements
People fed by synthetic nitrogen fertilizer Latest: 8.09B people (2023) Source: Our World in Data
Nitrogen fertilizer per hectare of cropland Latest: 67.7 kg/ha (2023) Source: Our World in Data
Cereal yield Latest: 4.21 t/ha (2024) Source: Our World in Data