Transport & space · around 2030

Driverless taxis in most big cities

Projection

Summoning a car with no driver becomes normal in most large cities.

Fully driverless ride-hailing already runs in a handful of cities. Wide deployment would cut crashes, which kill over a million people a year, and reshape parking and urban space.

Why it’s plausible: Commercial driverless services operate today in several cities; expansion depends on regulation, per-city mapping and validation cost, and handling rare edge cases.

See it in the living treeWikipedia