Materials · around 2030
AI-driven materials discovery
Projection
Models propose new compounds and robotic labs synthesise and test them in days.
Machine-learned models of chemistry, trained on quantum simulations, screen millions of candidates for batteries, catalysts and magnets. Closed-loop labs would turn materials science from years of trial and error into weeks.
Why it’s plausible: Large AI-predicted crystal databases and early autonomous labs already exist; what remains is showing that predicted materials reliably synthesise and perform outside simulation.
What it built on 5
What it led to 2
Related measurements
Training compute of notable AI models Source: Epoch AI, Notable AI Models (CC BY 4.0)
Best AI score on GPQA Diamond Latest: 95.8 % correct (2026) Source: Epoch AI, Capabilities & benchmarking (benchmark_data.zip, gpqa_diamond.csv); Anthropic: Claude 3 public launch (March 4, 2024)