Tools & manufacturing · around 2036
Humanoid robots in homes
Projection
A household robot folds laundry, loads the dishwasher and tidies up without supervision.
Homes are unstructured, cluttered and safety-critical, the hardest setting for robots. A capable, affordable home robot would free large amounts of unpaid domestic labour and support people ageing at home.
Why it’s plausible: Humanoid hardware costs are falling and learned manipulation is improving quickly; it depends on robust dexterity, safety around people and a price comparable to a car.
What it built on 7
Related measurements
Training compute of notable AI models Source: Epoch AI, Notable AI Models (CC BY 4.0)
ML hardware FLOP/s per dollar Source: Epoch AI, ML hardware (CC BY 4.0)