Communication · around 2028
Universal real-time translation
Projection
Earbuds translate spoken conversation in any major language with natural voices and little lag.
Speech models now transcribe, translate and speak in one pass. Near-seamless translation would lower the language barrier for travel, work, education and migration.
Why it’s plausible: Real-time speech-to-speech translation already ships for dozens of languages; universality depends on low-resource languages, latency and accuracy in noisy conversation.
What it built on 5
Related measurements
Training compute of notable AI models Source: Epoch AI, Notable AI Models (CC BY 4.0)
Best AI score on GPQA Diamond Latest: 95.8 % correct (2026) Source: Epoch AI, Capabilities & benchmarking (benchmark_data.zip, gpqa_diamond.csv); Anthropic: Claude 3 public launch (March 4, 2024)
Share of people online Latest: 73.6 % (2025) Source: Our World in Data