Health & biology · around 2040
Therapies that slow ageing
Projection
The first approved treatment that measurably slows biological ageing in people.
Ageing is the main risk factor for cancer, heart disease and dementia together. A therapy that slows it, whether via senolytics, metabolic drugs or cellular reprogramming, would extend healthy lifespan broadly.
Why it’s plausible: Interventions extend healthy lifespan in animals, and ageing biomarkers are improving; it depends on validated surrogate endpoints so trials can finish in years rather than decades.
What it built on 6
Related measurements
Life expectancy at birth Latest: 73.2 years (2023) Source: Our World in Data
Life expectancy in the UK since 1543 Latest: 81.3 years (2023) Source: Our World in Data