Stone to Silicon

Health & biology · around 2029

Personalised cancer vaccines

Projection

An mRNA vaccine designed from each patient's tumour mutations trains the immune system to hunt it.

Sequencing a tumour identifies neoantigens unique to it, and an mRNA vaccine encoding them is made in weeks. Paired with checkpoint drugs it aims to prevent relapse after surgery.

Why it’s plausible: Randomised trials in melanoma and pancreatic cancer have reported encouraging results; approval depends on larger phase 3 outcomes and fast, affordable manufacturing.

See it in the living treeWikipedia

Arcs above join it to what it stood on, arcs below to what it led to. The bar places this stretch on the tree's whole timeline.

What it built on 4

Related measurements

Cost to sequence a human genome Latest: 525 $ (2022) Source: Our World in Data

Childhood vaccine coverage Latest: DTP3: 85 % of one-year-olds (2025) Source: Our World in Data

Life expectancy at birth Latest: 73.2 years (2023) Source: Our World in Data